Problem
definition
What
is the daily time required to create a quality Blog? Considering that I usually
spending three days a week to complete my blog. I have learned by experience
that the best time is 25 min daily, although the longest time I spent is 90 min
per day, but most likely I can complete the blog in 45min daily. To determine
the suitable time needed to do a quality blog, here I consider the best case
worst case and most likely scenario.
Development
of the feasible alternatives
I
was spending more or less between the following times:
A.
25min
B.
45min
C.
90min
Develop
the outcomes for each alternative
The
duration given above is vary and depend on the efforts done by me, therefore
the most concentration I have the shorter duration needed for such a quality
blog.
Accepted
Criteria
The
analysis used in this chapter is the Program Evaluation and Review Technique
(PERT). PERT uses three estimates to define an approximate range for an
activity’s duration as follows:
Most
likely: The duration of the activity, given the resources likely to be
assigned, their productivity, realistic expectations of availability for the
activity, dependencies on other participants, and interruptions.
Optimistic:
The activity duration is based on analysis of the best-case scenario for the
activity. • Pessimistic: The activity duration is based on analysis of the
worst-case scenario for the activity.
Analysis
and comparison of the alternatives
Best
Case
|
Worst
Case
|
Most
likely
|
|
Average
|
25
min
|
90
min
|
45
min
|
-First:
Calculation of the Pert duration:
(Optimistic
Dur + 4* Most likely + Pessimistic Dur) / 6
The
Mean Duration is = (25+4*45+90) / 6 = 295/6 = 49.2min mean duration
-Second:
Calculation of the Standard Deviation and the Variance
90
(Pessimistic) – (Optimistic) 25 = 65 min
Sigma
= 65/6 = 10.8
Variance
= (10.8)² = 116.6
Bell Curve, Author |
Selection
of the preferred alternatives
As
per the best case worst case, most likely scenario graph shown above, taking a
percentage of 90% as the most likely case, I shall spent not less than 64.7min
on daily basis to do a quality blog.
Performance
monitoring and the post evaluation of results
Spending
an average of 64.7min is facilitating my latest blogs, since I used to prepare
and issue them in a short time and good shape comparing with first blogs.
Conclusion
The
time needed for creating and developing a good blog is vary depend on the topic
and the time should be spent on daily basis, taking my case I found that it’s better
to spent not less than 64.7min daily as to get my blog done on the exact target
date.
References
* Giammalvo,
Paul D (2011). AACE certification Preparation Course 2011, Day2, 64-66.
* Elrashid, M.
(2011). W4_What the real
time I should spent for creating an acceptable Blog. Retrieved
from http://www. Kristal2011aace.wordpress.com
* Project
Management Institute, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge PMBOK-Fourth
Edition, 6,150.
Good case study Mohammed, but I would much rather see you conduct this analysis as a LEARNING CURVE problem.
ReplyDeleteI will accept this, but for your next posting, I would like to see you revisit the learning curve problem. Let's see if you are cutting down the learning curve....
BR,
Dr. PDG, Jakarta