Thursday, January 3, 2013

W10_DI_STERNTUBE BUSH REPAIR SCHEDULING



1.     Problem recognition, definition and evaluation


In the middle of restoring main engine project MT. Sindang (tanker 40,000 DWT), bushing in sterntube found not appropriate with standard. The Diameter is over size 0.15 – 0.4 mm, white metal contact surface has uneven surface and no vertical offset 0.35mm, & bush inner side fwd and aft side no 30mm slope. 

This condition must be solved as soon as possible before commission test next 4 weeks, otherwise this project will be delayed and everyone will be unhappy.




2.   Development of the feasible alternatives 
      After discussed with contractor and project manager, we have 2 options to solve this problem

             - First option is replace both bushes with the new genuine part from maker.
-                        - Second option is re-machining bushes with support by Class approval.



3.     Development of the outcomes
We will use “Program Evaluation and Review Techique (PERT) application to analyze both choices. This method was first developed by Booz, Allen & Hamilton in 1950 for U.S. Navy programs.  

4.      Selection of the acceptable criteria.
The critical point in this situation is delivery time, because it is related with vessel commission test.
The option that will we choose is the fastest time to fix sterntube bushes.
 
5.      Analysis and comparison of the alternatives
Detail data (base on quotation from third parties, owner estimate & expertise experiences) will calculate and simulate using WinQSB 1.0 version program.

First Option: Replace both bushes with the new genuine part from maker

 Table 1. Activities for option 1


Table 2. Detail activities & Estimate time option 1


Table 3. Activities Analyze option 1


table 4. Gantt Chart & Probabilistic Activity Time option 1

table 5. Probability analyze option 1

Second option: Re-machining bushes with support by Class approval

 Table 6. Activities for option 2
  
 
Table 7.  Detail activities & Estimate time option2

Table 8. Activities Analyze option 2

 
Table 9. Gantt Chart & Probabilistic Activity Time option 2

Table 10. Probability analyze option2

6.     Selection of the preferred alternative
Re-machining is the best choice we have which is faster than renew with 28 day instead of 32 days with 50% probability.

7.     Performance Monitoring & Post Evaluation of Result 
      There are 4 important things must be understood by a Project Manager as shown in picture below:


Project manager must make a choice base on situational condition, sometime they increase the budget to speed up the progress, sometime they reduce scope of work to speed up the progress and saving money, and sometime they increase the budget and time to get better quality.

This sterntube case actually is in the middle of huge project, so our main consideration is about delivery time and cost instead of quality.

Reference: 
         i.   Taylor D. A.  Introduction to Marine Engineering Second Edition,   (Elsevier Butterworth-Heinemann, 1996) Chapter 11 Shafting & propellers, pp. 200-211
       ii.   4 hal Penting dalam Project anagement, retrieved from: 
      iii.   Booz Allen Hamilton – Historical Timeline, retrieved from:





2 comments:

  1. AWESOME posting, Pak Irawan!!!

    I love the way you explained the trade offs, although I am not sure that in the case of a main bushing, that trade off was a good one...... What is the difference between the new, original equipment bushings and machining the existing ones?

    How about for your next posting, you look at the LOST OPPORTUNITY costs should the machined bushing fail AFTER the ship has been placed in service?

    Suggest that you first look at my slides and review the slides on the COST OF QUALITY.....

    I have a suspicion that if you included the CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES (lost opportunity costs) into the equation, the decision MAY not be the same one you came up with?

    The big question is just how close the machined bushings are to the original genuine parts? Also does using non genuine parts void any warranties or guaranties?

    Again an outstanding (and very real) case study and although you did a great job of analyzing it, I question if you took the analysis far enough- until you can quantify what happens if the bushing fails after the ship is put in service, then you haven't done a complete job on your analysis!!!

    BR,
    Dr. PDG, Jakarta

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  2. Dear Dr. Paul

    Thank you..

    technically for bushing sterntube, both option are acceptable as long as dimensions and measurement is match with original drawing. The different are machining bush have shorter life time and need strict inspections by Class.

    i will try to analyst lost opportunity in next blog

    Thanks

    BR
    d.i.


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