1. Problem
recognition, definition and evaluation
In the middle of restoring main engine
project MT. Sindang (tanker 40,000 DWT), bushing in sterntube found not appropriate
with standard. The Diameter is over size 0.15 – 0.4 mm, white metal contact
surface has uneven surface and no vertical offset 0.35mm, & bush inner side
fwd and aft side no 30mm slope.
This condition must be solved as soon as possible
before commission test next 4 weeks, otherwise this project will be delayed and
everyone will be unhappy.
2. Development of the feasible alternatives
After discussed with contractor and project manager, we have 2 options to solve this problem
- First option is replace both bushes with the new
genuine part from maker.
-
- Second option is re-machining bushes with support by
Class approval.
3. Development
of the outcomes
We will use “Program Evaluation and Review Techique (PERT) application
to analyze both choices. This method was first developed by Booz, Allen &
Hamilton in 1950 for U.S. Navy programs.
4. Selection of the acceptable criteria.
The critical point in this situation
is delivery time, because it is related with vessel commission test.
The
option that will we choose is the fastest time to fix sterntube bushes.
Detail data (base on quotation
from third parties, owner estimate & expertise experiences) will calculate and simulate using WinQSB 1.0 version program.
First Option: Replace both bushes with the new
genuine part from maker
Table 1. Activities for option 1
Table 2. Detail activities & Estimate time option 1
Table 3. Activities Analyze option 1
table 4. Gantt Chart & Probabilistic Activity Time option 1
table 5. Probability analyze option 1
Second option: Re-machining bushes with support by
Class approval
Table 6. Activities for option 2
Table 7. Detail activities & Estimate time option2
Table 8. Activities Analyze option 2
Table 9. Gantt Chart & Probabilistic Activity Time option 2
Table 10. Probability analyze option2
6. Selection of the preferred alternative
Re-machining is the best choice we have which is faster than renew with 28
day instead of 32 days with 50% probability.
7. Performance Monitoring & Post
Evaluation of Result
There are 4 important things must be understood by a
Project Manager as shown in picture below:
Project
manager must make a choice base on situational condition, sometime they
increase the budget to speed up the progress, sometime they reduce scope of
work to speed up the progress and saving money, and sometime they increase the
budget and time to get better quality.
This
sterntube case actually is in the middle of huge project, so our main consideration
is about delivery time and cost instead of quality.
Reference:
i. Taylor
D. A. Introduction to Marine Engineering Second Edition, (Elsevier
Butterworth-Heinemann, 1996) Chapter 11 Shafting & propellers, pp. 200-211
ii. 4 hal Penting dalam Project anagement, retrieved from:
iii. Booz Allen Hamilton – Historical Timeline, retrieved from:
AWESOME posting, Pak Irawan!!!
ReplyDeleteI love the way you explained the trade offs, although I am not sure that in the case of a main bushing, that trade off was a good one...... What is the difference between the new, original equipment bushings and machining the existing ones?
How about for your next posting, you look at the LOST OPPORTUNITY costs should the machined bushing fail AFTER the ship has been placed in service?
Suggest that you first look at my slides and review the slides on the COST OF QUALITY.....
I have a suspicion that if you included the CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES (lost opportunity costs) into the equation, the decision MAY not be the same one you came up with?
The big question is just how close the machined bushings are to the original genuine parts? Also does using non genuine parts void any warranties or guaranties?
Again an outstanding (and very real) case study and although you did a great job of analyzing it, I question if you took the analysis far enough- until you can quantify what happens if the bushing fails after the ship is put in service, then you haven't done a complete job on your analysis!!!
BR,
Dr. PDG, Jakarta
Dear Dr. Paul
ReplyDeleteThank you..
technically for bushing sterntube, both option are acceptable as long as dimensions and measurement is match with original drawing. The different are machining bush have shorter life time and need strict inspections by Class.
i will try to analyst lost opportunity in next blog
Thanks
BR
d.i.